presidential election cycle

Presidential Election Cycle

A theory of market performance stating that markets are weakest in the year following a presidential election, regardless of whether a new president or party take power. This theory held up well until the late 20th century, when the presidents' first years saw strong performance. For example, the first year of George H.W. Bush's presidency had strong market performance, but his administration ended with a recession.

presidential election cycle

The tendency of the stock market to move in four-year cycles with rising markets occurring during the period before presidential elections. The presidential election cycle is based on observation of past market movements and on the theory that holds that incumbent presidents manipulate the economy before elections in such a way that bull markets ensue. Also called election cycle.
References in periodicals archive ?
The time is a presidential election cycle that kicked into high gear early in 2019, featuring momentum for "Medicare for All."
Similarly, this high turnout sustains the momentum coming from the 2016 presidential election cycle and will hopefully continue to set new milestones for the 2022 elections.
NIGERIA'S latest presidential election cycle has been bad news for democracy in Africa's most populous country and across the continent.
It's not just that Iowa is the first state to vote in the presidential election cycle. It's because of the way politics are done in this state and the seriousness with which Iowans engage in this process.
If enough states sign onto the compact to push their cumulative voting power to more than 270 electoral votes -- the amount required to win the presidency -- the compact will take effect in the next presidential election cycle.
As we begin to benefit from initial contributions from Tribune later this year, the continued double-digit growth of combined retransmission and digital revenue, a large number of distribution contract renewals at 2019 year-end and spending related to the upcoming 2020 presidential election cycle, we have excellent visibility to delivering on or exceeding our free cash flow targets and a clear path for the continued near- and long-term enhancement of shareholder value."
Since the election, the media's attention has largely been focused on what the outcome means for the 2020 presidential election cycle, which is already underway.
Zirinsky said ratings issues are hardly unique to CBS News and that she's looking forward to the challenge of delivering news in a digital-heavy age heading into a new presidential election cycle.
The 2019 presidential election cycle could make further agreements difficult to achieve toward the end of 2018 when the campaigns begin for the February 2019 presidential election.
That sentiment appears to have carried over from the last presidential election cycle, when thousands of legal permanent residents in Texas applied for citizenship in hopes of securing their place in the United States.
In a public notice issued yesterday, the retailer, whose plans of completing the restructuring plan before the end of this year were hampered by the protracted presidential election cycle, indicated that it is likely to hold the AGM before March next year after completing negotiations with the potential investor.
Q: "Facebook recently revealed it sold about $100,000 worth of ads during the last presidential election cycle from inauthentic accounts and pages likely operated out of Russia.' Should there be more ad restrictions for media companies during an election?"

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