expectations hypothesis

Unbiased Expectations Hypothesis

In foreign exchange, a theory that forward exchange rates for delivery at some future date are equal to the spot rates for that date. The hypothesis only functions in the absence of a risk premium. Critics contend that the unbiased expectations evidence shows that unbiased expectations do not occur in actual trading. It is also called an unbiased predictor.

expectations hypothesis

The explanation that the slope of the yield curve is attributable to expectations of changes in short-term interest rates. The yield curve relates bond yields and maturity lengths.
References in periodicals archive ?
Voluntary turnover: An empirical test of the Met expectations hypothesis.
According to the expectations hypothesis, which lies at the centre of the benchmark finance model, interest rates on term bonds are determined by the expected sum of short-term interest rates over the life of the bond (equation 1).
The rational expectations hypothesis was originally suggested by John (Jack) Muth (1961) to explain how the outcome of a given economic phenomena depends to a certain degree on what agents expect to happen.
He believes in discretionary fiscal and monetary policies and in the rational expectations hypothesis.
The rational expectations hypothesis has dominated research programs in macroeconomics since the seventies.
The use of an equation system (The model used in this review) in its rational expectations hypothesis and so the estimated equation system, In addition to the test neutrality of money can to test the rational expectations hypothesis.
The rational expectations hypothesis (REH) is a theoretically attractive framework for assessing the mechanism with which economic agents process information when formulating judgments about the real world (Krause 2000).
The topics discussed include rediscovering the macroeconomic roots of financial stability policy, inflation-indexed bonds and the expectations hypothesis, the economics of credit default swaps, equilibrium in the initial public offering market, and carry trade and momentum in currency markets.
Tests of the rational expectations hypothesis (REH) outside the experimental laboratory typically utilize two types of data: quantitative measures of expectations about publicly observed variables such as inflation, usually elicited from small samples of professional forecasters; and qualitative measures of expectations about privately observed variables such as personal income, elicited from large samples of households.
Another important theme of the book is that traditional methods of economic inquiry, such as the efficient market hypothesis and the rational expectations hypothesis, are not well suited for analyzing financial bubbles.
The expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates assumes that current and expected yields of short-term bonds determine yields of long-term bonds, while the supplies of the bonds do not affect yields.