When clients are overwhelmed by future uncertainty, scenario analysis
provides them reasonable assumptions for creating a narrative for future outcomes based on specific steps taken.
is the tool to deal with an unpredictable future--and is possibility the next best thing to the crystal ball.
While sensitivity analysis measures sensitivity of project's NPV by varying one key variable at the time, scenario analysis
constructs scenarios where several key variables change in each scenario.
Conditionality helps investors improve investment scenario analysis
by better organizing the qualitative evidence collected in file folders, by using that evidence to better support the qualitative judgments, now written in a Word memo, and by using the judgments to automatically drive more scenarios than they create manually in Excel.
Specifically, such maps are less reliant on heroic assumptions about changes in political and economic systems than either forecasting or scenario analysis
The system provides the firm with stress testing, scenario analysis
, compliance checking, real-time Greeks and flexible reporting capabilities.
We have thus conducted a scenario analysis
to evaluate the effects of an economic slowdown or recession on the fundamental value of Russian telecom and media stocks.
Based on the identified need for valid, reliable quantitative instruments measuring cognitive and affective aspects, three instruments were developed: a 20-item, polytomously-scored multiple choice questionnaire, a five item Interest Survey, and a written CT case scenario analysis
Sensitivity analysis tweaks one variable at a time and evaluates the effect on the project's net present value, and scenario analysis
examines a limited number of combinations of variables: worst-case (WC), most-likely-case (MLC), and best-case (BC) estimates of financial variables that determine future cash flows (e.
On iPhone, he says his worst case scenario analysis
is that 10% of iPhoen subs might churn in 2011 if the company loses exclusivity; he thinks this risk is fully priced in.
Pitney Bowes MapInfo has recently introduced new data sets for their Risk Data Suite, which aims to address critical decisions with disaster scenario analysis
and claim planning and preparedness.
They also can do scenario analysis
using moveable graphics tied to each key performance indicator or driver and set alerts to detect conditions that warrant immediate attention.