Rolling Returns
Rolling Returns
Annualized returns for a given number of years. For example, if one holds a stock for 15 years, one refers to its returns in annualized terms as rolling returns.
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For example, three-year rolling returns from December 1975 through June 2017 show that more than 60% of actively managed blend funds beat their index counterparts when average annual market returns were 5.6% and 68% outperformed when returns were negative, but less than 40% outperformed when average market returns were 20%.
However, the fund has delivered negative 12-month rolling returns since 3Q14, suffering from drawdowns in 2014 (significant short position on US rates) and, to a lesser extent, 2015 (higher bond correlation).
If you look at a chart of the 10-year rolling returns on a Barclay's aggregate investment versus the yield, you'd see that the returns and yields were closely aligned.
3) Emphasize 5-year rolling returns instead of the DOL mandated (and often misleading) 1-, 5- and 10-year snapshot- in-time performance figures.
One positive, though, is that it has been able to consistently beat its benchmark, the BSE 100 index, in terms of three-year rolling returns since April 2012.
1-year rolling returns shall be computed by taking the year-over-year percentage change in the Net Asset Value Per Share (NAVPS) of a mutual fund or portfolio during the last day of each month beginning January 2010 until December 31, 2010, the study's evaluation date, for a total of 12 monthly rolling returns.
Operationally, the beta of a mutual fund's rolling returns with respect to the benchmark index shall be computed by utilizing the rolling returns data of both the mutual fund and the HSBC benchmark over the most recent 12 months immediately prior to the study's evaluation date.
As such, the total risk of the mutual funds to be investigated in this research paper shall be computed by taking the standard deviation of their annualized 1-, 3-, and 5-year monthly rolling returns over the 12 months immediately preceding the study's evaluation date.
Breaking down the Treynor ratios of the funds into their component parts would show that all these funds with negative Treynor metrics had 3- and 5-year average rolling returns that failed to beat on average a passive investment in 3- and 5-year FXTNs respectively.
Its total risk or the standard deviation of its 5-year rolling returns is 0.71% compared to the industry average's 0.30%.
Since the NAVPS of mutual funds from which the rolling returns are derived are reported net of all relevant administrative costs and management fees, future studies could consider restating the fixing or reference yields net of the withholding tax.
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