Politically, the president's advisors developed a strategy to build a coalition of independent voters who had opted for Democrats over the past four
presidential election cycles, as well as to shore up traditional Democratic constituencies (farmers, laborers, and African Americans), while focusing primarily on 17 states that would be vital to winning the election.
FiveThirtyEight, which has been highly successful predicting the outcomes in the past two
presidential election cycles, gives Clinton an 85.1 percent chance of winning (based on current polls) the presidency.
In fact, the leaders in early nomination polls for the last two
presidential election cycles -- Joe Lieberman in 2003 and Hillary Clinton in 2007 on the Democratic side and Rudy Giuliani in 2007 on the Republican side -- did not eventually win their party's nomination, with Lieberman and Giuliani having poor showings in the early primaries.
The poll that has proved the most accurate in the last three
presidential election cycles Wednesday indicated Republican presidential contender Donald Trump is leading Democratic rival Hillary Clinton by a point going into the final presidential debate.
I test here for the effects of two important domestic political variables: partisan politics and
presidential election cycles. I cannot test the influence of, for example, domestic public opinion, because no systematic data exist about it before World War II.
After four successful years, including two
presidential election cycles and a record-breaking 2004, DNet will not be operational in 2005 as we strategize about the future of this nationwide online voter information project.
Traditionally, donors tend to give more money during
presidential election cycles.
However, while the last nine out of 10
presidential election cycles favored GOP candidates, the current governor is a Democrat, and the state legislature is left-leaning.
"It makes sense for the board and
presidential election cycles to be in sync," said NZNO president Nano Tunnicliff.
As part of the 2010 parliamentary and 2011
presidential election cycles in Kyrgyzstan, our assistance funded training for over 50,000 election officials across the country," Robert Blake said.
In past
presidential election cycles, E&P has kept a running tally of the various endorsements (and non-endorsements) issued by newspapers across the country, and we will continue that tradition this year.
presidential election cycles: There is no such thing as a "Catholic vote" anymore, but whoever wins it will almost certainly be the next president.