presidential election cycle

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Presidential Election Cycle

A theory of market performance stating that markets are weakest in the year following a presidential election, regardless of whether a new president or party take power. This theory held up well until the late 20th century, when the presidents' first years saw strong performance. For example, the first year of George H.W. Bush's presidency had strong market performance, but his administration ended with a recession.
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presidential election cycle

The tendency of the stock market to move in four-year cycles with rising markets occurring during the period before presidential elections. The presidential election cycle is based on observation of past market movements and on the theory that holds that incumbent presidents manipulate the economy before elections in such a way that bull markets ensue. Also called election cycle.
Wall Street Words: An A to Z Guide to Investment Terms for Today's Investor by David L. Scott. Copyright © 2003 by Houghton Mifflin Company. Published by Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved. All rights reserved.
References in periodicals archive ?
Politically, the president's advisors developed a strategy to build a coalition of independent voters who had opted for Democrats over the past four presidential election cycles, as well as to shore up traditional Democratic constituencies (farmers, laborers, and African Americans), while focusing primarily on 17 states that would be vital to winning the election.
FiveThirtyEight, which has been highly successful predicting the outcomes in the past two presidential election cycles, gives Clinton an 85.1 percent chance of winning (based on current polls) the presidency.
In fact, the leaders in early nomination polls for the last two presidential election cycles -- Joe Lieberman in 2003 and Hillary Clinton in 2007 on the Democratic side and Rudy Giuliani in 2007 on the Republican side -- did not eventually win their party's nomination, with Lieberman and Giuliani having poor showings in the early primaries.
The poll that has proved the most accurate in the last three presidential election cycles Wednesday indicated Republican presidential contender Donald Trump is leading Democratic rival Hillary Clinton by a point going into the final presidential debate.
I test here for the effects of two important domestic political variables: partisan politics and presidential election cycles. I cannot test the influence of, for example, domestic public opinion, because no systematic data exist about it before World War II.
After four successful years, including two presidential election cycles and a record-breaking 2004, DNet will not be operational in 2005 as we strategize about the future of this nationwide online voter information project.
Traditionally, donors tend to give more money during presidential election cycles.
However, while the last nine out of 10 presidential election cycles favored GOP candidates, the current governor is a Democrat, and the state legislature is left-leaning.
"It makes sense for the board and presidential election cycles to be in sync," said NZNO president Nano Tunnicliff.
As part of the 2010 parliamentary and 2011 presidential election cycles in Kyrgyzstan, our assistance funded training for over 50,000 election officials across the country," Robert Blake said.
In past presidential election cycles, E&P has kept a running tally of the various endorsements (and non-endorsements) issued by newspapers across the country, and we will continue that tradition this year.
presidential election cycles: There is no such thing as a "Catholic vote" anymore, but whoever wins it will almost certainly be the next president.

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