Policy Decisions Proliferation and Risk of Use NBC Weapons
and Missiles: Where Are They?
The homeland security approach to develop protective measures against CBRN incidents is based on the DOD passive defense construct, assuming that terrorists will use military-style NBC weapons
to simultaneously cause mass casualties in multiple cities.
Throughout history, a military's ability to employ NBC weapons
was directly affected by the operational concepts of the day, the national leadership's willingness to employ such agents, and the technical ability to deliver these weapons against an adversary or noncombatant target.
The assessment of likely Iraqi use of NBC weapons
was found in early drafts of the September dossier by JIC Chair John Scarlett.
The book's most problematic contribution is by David Kay, who recently resigned as head of the Iraq Survey Group searching for evidence of that country's pre-war NBC weapons
One therefore has to wonder whether Falkenrath et al's call for $1 billion to be allocated annually to deal with the NBC terrorist and covert attack threat will really help matters or make them worse by pumping more money into an already oversized NBC weapons
with NBC weapons
, attack by unconventional delivery means, such as terrorism, is possible.
Although the Armed Forces may confront an enemy willing to use NBC weapons
We know that in the 20th century NBC weapons
were used in warfare.
Thus, while arms-control and export-control regimes can be helpful in retarding and raising the cost of obtaining NBC weapons
, states that are sufficiently motivated and possess adequate resources will probably succeed if they persist.
Prior to 1991, NBC defense was an aspect of deterring superpowers from using NBC weapons
and protecting military forces in the event that deterrence failed.
This leads to the postulate that the more limited the probability of detection--or stated differently, the easier it is to mask or hide an NBC weapons
capability--the less "deterrence" is gained from traditional measures such as mandatory declarations, and intrusive challenge inspections.