Delphi technique

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Delphi technique

Collection of independent opinions without group discussion by the analysts providing the opinions; used for various sorts of evaluations (such as country risk assessment).

Delphi Technique

A system of forecasting in which different experts give their professional opinions without knowing what the other experts' opinions are. That is, the experts share their opinions anonymously and discuss them in a series of rounds. These rounds continue until they reach some consensus. The Delphi technique exists to ensure that a famous or well-regarded expert's opinion does not drown out those of lesser known analysts.

Delphi technique

an approach to generating new ideas or problem-solving amongst a GROUP or team. Each member or interested party submits his or her recommendations or views on the issue under review to a central contact point. All ideas generated in this way are then circulated to all those participating in the process, who then have the opportunity to submit comments on them. This process is repeated until a consensus emerges. Although time consuming, it can be an effective approach to the management of change since it enables all interested parties to express their views, generates consensus and, by incorporating all in the decisionmaking process, tends to generate commitment to the final outcome. See TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING, BRAINSTORMING, NOMINAL GROUP TECHNOLOGY.
References in periodicals archive ?
Delphi method. https://www.rand.org/topics/delphi-method.html (accessed 13 August 2018).
The paragraph that indicated where the key words appeared in the article were reviewed, and articles that came up in the search that contained the key words, but did not appear to use a content analysis or Delphi method as a research method to gather data, were eliminated.
Q21 Given the menu of forecasting techniques below, how knowledgeable are you about each technique (scaling from "not at all knowledgeable (1)" to "very knowledgeable (5)" on a 5-point scale)?: ARIMA (Box Jenkins) (1) Causal Multiple Regression (2) Data Mining (3) Delphi method (4) Holt's exponential smoothing (5) How to combine forecasts (6) Jury of executive opinions (7) Linear regression trends (8) Moving averages (9) Naive method (10) Sales force composite (11) Simple exponential smoothing (12) Text Mining (13) Time series decomposition (14) Winters' exponential smoothing (15) Other: (16)
Based on the principle of the Delphi method, experts would be responding to the questionnaire and grade each indicator based on the Likert scale (containing 5 scales, which are 'strongly agree', 'agree', 'uncertain', 'disagree', and 'strongly disagree', with the grade of 5, 4, 3, 2, and 1, respectively, in statistical analysis) by the importance of the subjects according to their expertise and experience.[12] Besides, suggestions of the experts in adjusting the structure of the evaluation system through adding, deleting, or merging indicators would also be faithfully recorded.
Using and reporting the Delphi method for selecting healthcare quality indicators: a systematic review.
The Delphi method as a research tool: An example, design considerations and applications.
The optimal number of experts in a group using the Delphi method is between 10 and 30 (Murry & Hammons, 1995).
At the end of three rounds of the Delphi method, using the median as the measure of central tendency, a 100% consensus was reached regarding the grouping of specialties composing person-oriented versus technique-oriented specialties, as seen in Tables 1 and 2.
On the basis of these recommendations, the research applied the mapping method, the expert Delphi method and the standardised interview method for one case study.
Solmonson, Roaten, and Sawyer (2011) used the Delphi method to raise awareness about hiring practices of school counselors, elucidating a need for improved training, assessment, and oversight through school district-university partnerships.
The Delphi method: A review of methodology and an application in the evaluation of a higher education program.
Moselhi, "Prioritizing deterioration factors of water pipelines using Delphi method," Measurement, vol.