presidential election cycle

Presidential Election Cycle

A theory of market performance stating that markets are weakest in the year following a presidential election, regardless of whether a new president or party take power. This theory held up well until the late 20th century, when the presidents' first years saw strong performance. For example, the first year of George H.W. Bush's presidency had strong market performance, but his administration ended with a recession.

presidential election cycle

The tendency of the stock market to move in four-year cycles with rising markets occurring during the period before presidential elections. The presidential election cycle is based on observation of past market movements and on the theory that holds that incumbent presidents manipulate the economy before elections in such a way that bull markets ensue. Also called election cycle.
References in periodicals archive ?
There are plenty of serious issues to debate in the upcoming presidential election cycle.
And it looks like the recently begun presidential election cycle will provide such a discussion.
With the goal of raising the visibility of city issues during the presidential election cycle, the task force will develop an actionable plan that includes tools and resources for NLC members to engage candidates on city issues.
His future projects involve the release of his fourth book, Thomas Jefferson is missing amid the US Presidential election cycle in 2016, and is working on another novel.
Preelection polls throughout the 2012 election cycle painted a portrait of a tight presidential election cycle in which voters preferences were roughly evenly split between the two major-party contenders.
This second edition has been updated with information from the 2010 census and the 2012 presidential election cycle.
Throughout the presidential election cycle, birth control and contraception were challenged by some church groups, using proposed legislation to outlaw each as a form of abortion.
So, will we see a greater voice in next presidential election cycle four years from now?
The Presidential Election cycle provided PaintPAC with tremendous opportunities--PaintPAC contributed to more candidates than ever before in its 10 years of existence, with 52 contributions to individuals, and four contributions to Leadership PACs.
With every new presidential election cycle, the campaigns become even more extended, hyperbolic, and theatrical.
Over 200 business owners penned a letter urging Christie to implement the Affordable Care Act at the earliest, rather than waiting for the presidential election cycle to end.
The rate of TV ad spending alone puts the two campaigns on track to blow the lid off of the 2008 election spending record of $515 million in the 2008 presidential election cycle.

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