presidential election cycle

Presidential Election Cycle

A theory of market performance stating that markets are weakest in the year following a presidential election, regardless of whether a new president or party take power. This theory held up well until the late 20th century, when the presidents' first years saw strong performance. For example, the first year of George H.W. Bush's presidency had strong market performance, but his administration ended with a recession.

presidential election cycle

The tendency of the stock market to move in four-year cycles with rising markets occurring during the period before presidential elections. The presidential election cycle is based on observation of past market movements and on the theory that holds that incumbent presidents manipulate the economy before elections in such a way that bull markets ensue. Also called election cycle.
References in periodicals archive ?
With the 2016 presidential election cycle, the number reached half a million.
In a public notice issued yesterday, the retailer, whose plans of completing the restructuring plan before the end of this year were hampered by the protracted presidential election cycle, indicated that it is likely to hold the AGM before March next year after completing negotiations with the potential investor.
Q: "Facebook recently revealed it sold about $100,000 worth of ads during the last presidential election cycle from inauthentic accounts and pages likely operated out of Russia.
According to the company, the decision was based on its investigation for accounts and advertisers that operated on the platform during the 2016 presidential election cycle.
While some thought the 2016 presidential election cycle would mark a change (there was even speculation that Texas could turn blue) Republican Donald Trump defeated Democrat Hillary Clinton by 9 percentage points in Texas.
Does the presidential election cycle provide market insight?
is about to conclude another presidential election cycle.
Since the launch of this presidential election cycle a year ago, the Circle of Protection coalition has sought "a new bipartisan dialog on what it will take to end hunger and poverty.
In the United States, this is felt most keenly every four years, during the presidential election cycle.
president to lifetime appointments, is in the spotlight this presidential election cycle after Scalia's death.
This drive was introduced during the 2004 presidential election cycle, which was an important time for the industry in the wake of the post-9/11 environment.
Behavioural health care has been growing in importance in the entire health care policy discussion, especially during this presidential election cycle.

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