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Expected Value
(redirected from expected)

   Also found in: Dictionary/thesaurus, Medical, Legal, Acronyms, Idioms, Encyclopedia, Wikipedia, Hutchinson 0.01 sec.
Expected value
The weighted average of a probability distribution. Also known as the mean value.

Expected Value
The return on an investment as estimated by an asset pricing model. It is calculated by taking the average of the probability distribution of all possible returns. To give a very simple example, a model might state that an investment has a 10% chance of a 100% return and a 90% chance of a 50% return. The expected rate of return is calculated as:

Expected Value = 0.1(1) + 0.9(0.5) = 0.55 = 55%.

It is important to note that there is no guarantee that the expected rate of return and the actual return will be the same. Statistically, the expected value is the mean value of the probability distribution. It is also called the expected rate of return. See also: Abnormal return.


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