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Earnings Variability

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earnings variability
Fluctuations in a corporation's net income or earnings per share during a given period. Past earnings variability is generally considered undesirable because it makes investors less certain of future earnings per share and dividends. As such, a history of earnings variability may be expected to penalize a firm's stock with a lower-than-average price-earnings ratio.

Earnings Variability
1. Differences in a publicly traded company's year-on-year earnings or earnings per share in both positive and negative directions. Earnings variability is sometimes considered a negative sign as investors do not know whether the company's earnings in one year can be sustained in the next. This can lead to a low P/E ratio as high earnings in a given year do not equate to an increase in share price. It is the opposite of earnings momentum.

2. The amount a worker's wages or salary change from year to year. Earnings variability can occur due to a job change, among other reasons. Between 2003 and 2007, approximately one in five workers saw their earnings increase by 25% or more and one in five saw them decrease by the same amount.


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They find that "since 1980, the trend in year-to-year earnings variability has been roughly flat.
Through upgrades in incentive pay design, reducing earnings variability can be done at negative cost, since business results can improve.
Partially offsetting these positive rating factors is the group's earnings variability in recent years (largely due to fluctuations in its prior year loss reserve development), above-average expense ratio and the anticipated near-term pressures on profitability associated with the likelihood of less favorable prior year loss reserve development than occurred in 2006 and continued softening of property/casualty markets.
 
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