An element in a model. For example, in the model RS&P
t+1 = a + b Tbill
t + e
t, where RS&P
t+1 is the return on the
S&P in month
t+1 and Tbill is the Tbill return at month
t, both RS&P and Tbill are "variables" because they change through time; i.e., they are not constant.