As mentioned before, we hypothesize that the main factor causing the seasonal patterns in bond returns is the Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs).
The federal government of Canada conducts its fundraising activities in the credit markets using primarily three instruments: T-Bills (issued weekly), Canada Savings Bonds (issued annually), and marketable bonds (whenever needed, usually at least once a month).
The interest rate on
Canada Savings Bonds is set at 6 per cent, down from 7 1/2 per cent a year earlier.
With plummeting interest rates, even trustworthy
Canada Savings Bonds (CSBs) are not keeping up with inflation.
Expenses such as improved home insulation promise a higher rate of return than
Canada Savings Bonds, let alone the stock market.