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Taylor Rule
(redirected from Taylor-rule)

   Also found in: Wikipedia 0.01 sec.
Taylor rule
Describes how a central bank should adjust short-term interest rates (e.g. the Federal Funds rate) in response to inflation or output gaps. According to the rule, the interest rate should be increased if inflation rises above the target rate of inflation or if real GDP rises above trend GDP (increasing interest rates would squeeze credit supply to decrease demand and bring prices under control.) On the other hand, if inflation or real GDP fall below their target values, interest rates should be decreased. Proposed by economist John B. Taylor in 1993.

Taylors Rule
A general rule for central banks when deciding interest rates. The rule states that interest rates should be increased in times of high inflation and when employment is higher than full employment, and should be decreased in periods of low inflations and higher unemployment. The rule states that following these principles will encourage growth while discouraging inflation. The Federal Reserve follows this rule implicitly, even though it does not explicitly endorse it.


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We (8) show that the Taylor-rule model, when expressed as a present value relationship, has a modest positive correlation with the actual real dollar/DM rate over the 1979-98 period.
On the other hand, Orphanides (2000) used real-time data to estimate a Taylor-rule equation and compared these estimates with Taylor-rule estimates based on revised data.
One is its emphasis on the difficulty of measuring the "output gap" variable that appears m price-adjustment and Taylor-rule equations, that is, the percentage difference between current output and its "potential" or "natural-rate" value.
 
 
 
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