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Serial Correlation

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Serial Correlation
In technical analysis, a measure of how well past occurrences predict future occurrences. Most importantly, serial correlation checks whether and how often a particular price movement will result in a different price movement. Serial correlation lies at the heart of technical analysis. It is also called autocorrelation.

serial correlation
The relationship that one event has to a series of past events. In technical analysis, serial correlation is used to test whether various chart formations are useful in projecting a security's future price movements.


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Using the productivity-disturbance process that Letendre (2004) estimates from the Canadian post 1981 quarterly data, we find that in Mendoza's model with capital adjustment costs, output is less volatile than that observed in the actual economy, and the coefficients of serial correlation in GDP, investment, and work effort are all statistically lower than their empirical counterparts.
Later tests will also be conducted to determine if other coefficients in the specification are identical across countries and to determine if serial correlation is present in the residuals.
 
 
 
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