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Realized Volatility

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Realized volatility
Sometimes referred to as the historical volatility, this term usually used in the context of derivatives. While the implied volatility refers to the market's assessment of future volatility, the realized volatility measures what actually happened in the past. The measurement of the volatility depends on the particular situation. For example, one could calculate the realized volatility for the equity market in March of 2003 by taking the standard deviation of the daily returns within that month. One could look at the realized volatility between 10:00AM and 11:00AM on June 23, 2003 by calculating the standard deviation of one minute returns.

Historical Volatility
A measure of a security's stability over a given period of time. While there are various ways to calculate it, the most common way is to compute the average deviation from the average price over the period of time one wishes to measure. The historical volatility is often compared to the implied volatility to determine if a security is overvalued or undervalued. Generally, securities with a higher historical volatility carry more risk. It is also called realized volatility or the standard deviation. See also: Volatility.


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In fact, the spread between implied and realized volatility is at multi year highs.
The bank has also launched the Credit Suisse Momentum and Volatility Enhanced Return Strategy (MOVERS) which is driven by a quantitative strategy that determines whether it is long or short individual commodities on the basis of market performance and realized volatility.
Research has consistently found that Black-Scholes implied volatility is a conditionally biased predictor of realized volatility across asset markets.
 
 
 
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