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Overreaction Hypothesis

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Overreaction hypothesis
The supposition that investors overreact to unanticipated news, resulting in exaggerated movements in stock prices followed by corrections.

Overreaction Hypothesis
A theory stating that the crowd overreacts to both good news and bad news. For example, when a company announces unexpectedly high earnings, this can create a buying panic that unjustifiably drives up the company's stock price. Likewise, when the earnings are unexpectedly bad, there can be a selling panic that drives down the price. One can use the overreaction hypothesis to make short-term profits in either direction.


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This finding supports the overreaction hypothesis and sets grounds for contrarian portfolio strategies.
The overreaction hypothesis is consistent with the notion that prices can move beyond equilibrium values, but will eventually reverse themselves as traders sort through the information.
The Overreaction Hypothesis (OH) explains these inefficiencies by predicting that prices will be undervalued preceding unfavorable announcements.
 
 
 
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