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Full Carry

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Full Carry
A futures market in which the price difference between contracts with two different delivery months equals the full cost of carrying the commodity from the delivery month of the first contract to the next. Carrying costs include interest, insurance and storage. Also known as "full carry market" or "full carrying charge market".

Notes:
For example, let's say commodity X has a May 05 futures price of $10/unit. If the cost of carry for commodity X is $0.50/month and the June 05 contract is trading at $10.50/unit the price indicates a full carry, or in other words the contract represents the full cost associated with the holding the commodity for an additional month.



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That task will fall on September corn, currently about 6cents under full carry to December.
I believe some time during the next 11/2 years, the spread between July 2007 and December 2007 will increase to 28cents, an estimated 87% of full carry, and will give you a net 20cents improvement, or $4.
So I would hedge 2003 corn in the December 2002 contract, then roll to July 2003 and, finally, December 2003, to give the market time to reach 75% to 80% of full carry.
 
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