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Expectations Theory of Forward Exchange Rates

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Expectations theory of forward exchange rates
A theory of foreign exchange rates that states that the expected future spot foreign exchange rate t periods from now equals the current t-period forward exchange rate.

Pure Expectations Theory
In foreign exchange, a theory that forward exchange rates for delivery at some future date are equal to the spot rates for that date. The theory only functions in the absence of a risk premium. Critics contend that the evidence shows that pure expectations do not occur in actual trading.


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