Unbiased expectations hypothesis

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Unbiased expectations hypothesis

Theory that forward exchange rates are unbiased predictors of future spot rates. See Forward parity.

Unbiased Expectations Hypothesis

In foreign exchange, a theory that forward exchange rates for delivery at some future date are equal to the spot rates for that date. The hypothesis only functions in the absence of a risk premium. Critics contend that the unbiased expectations evidence shows that unbiased expectations do not occur in actual trading. It is also called an unbiased predictor.