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Delphi Technique

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Delphi technique
Collection of independent opinions without group discussion by the analysts providing the opinions; used for various sorts of evaluations (such as country risk assessment).

Delphi Technique
A system of forecasting in which different experts give their professional opinions without knowing what the other experts' opinions are. That is, the experts share their opinions anonymously and discuss them in a series of rounds. These rounds continue until they reach some consensus. The Delphi technique exists to ensure that a famous or well-regarded expert's opinion does not drown out those of lesser known analysts.


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In their seminal work on the Delphi technique, Linstone and Turoff characterized the Delphi as "a method for structuring a group communication process so that it is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to deal with a complex problem" (p.
The critical question targets the appropriateness of the Delphi technique to establish expert consensus on very complex issues.
 
 
 
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