Delphi technique

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Delphi technique

Collection of independent opinions without group discussion by the analysts providing the opinions; used for various sorts of evaluations (such as country risk assessment).

Delphi Technique

A system of forecasting in which different experts give their professional opinions without knowing what the other experts' opinions are. That is, the experts share their opinions anonymously and discuss them in a series of rounds. These rounds continue until they reach some consensus. The Delphi technique exists to ensure that a famous or well-regarded expert's opinion does not drown out those of lesser known analysts.

Delphi technique

an approach to generating new ideas or problem-solving amongst a GROUP or team. Each member or interested party submits his or her recommendations or views on the issue under review to a central contact point. All ideas generated in this way are then circulated to all those participating in the process, who then have the opportunity to submit comments on them. This process is repeated until a consensus emerges. Although time consuming, it can be an effective approach to the management of change since it enables all interested parties to express their views, generates consensus and, by incorporating all in the decisionmaking process, tends to generate commitment to the final outcome. See TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING, BRAINSTORMING, NOMINAL GROUP TECHNOLOGY.
References in periodicals archive ?
2008) Using fuzzy Delphi method in maintenance strategy selection problem, Journal of Uncertain Systems, 2(4), pp.
The analyses of questionnaire data and of detailed reports on project execution methodology led to the identification of four leading scenario building forms, namely optimization modelling, scenario building based on description of key factors, as well as on the results of the Delphi method and the scenario workshop.
Most researchers employ a "modified" Delphi method when conducting studies, because the exact steps required within the format can be tailored to fit the needs of the research [24-25].
A modified Delphi method was used to develop a consensual validation of the proposed set of competencies.
Participants in this Delphi Method experts' panel included ten individuals representing the following groups: assistant principals, principals, superintendents, professors, and other professionals with expertise in the area of assistant principals and discipline.
The Delphi method typically involves the selection of suitable experts, development of appropriate questions, and analysis of their answers (Cabaniss 2002).
Finally, the interactions between the different hypotheses proposed are not taken into account and they are even avoided, leading the promoters of the Delphi method to develop probabilistic cross impact methods.
In the "Validity and Reliability" paragraph, it would have been more meaningful to define to readers what the Delphi method was and whether it improved the validity or reliability of the Beers criteria.
The Delphi method was used to generate practices regarding the use of technology in high schools.